Showing posts with label Kaus. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Kaus. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 15, 2006

Big Apple of Tom's Hawkeye

If I missed this nuggest, perhaps you did as well... in a November 11th article (hidden in that tricky local section) discussing Senator Hillary Clinton's campaign staff situation post-Nov. 7 and her possible 2008 shuffling, the New York Times reported that:

Gov. Tom Vilsack of Iowa even called her this week to give her a heads-up that he was planning to seek the Democratic presidential nomination, advisers to both of them said. Mr. Vilsack is a longtime admirer of Mrs. Clinton, his advisers said, and he is well aware that she has the standing and money to mount a formidable campaign.

This seems fishy, no? "Longtime admirer"? I wonder if Vilsack called John Edwards as well, or any other big name Democrat who may enter the race. But it gets even worse, with our friends at politicalwire.com pointing out an article in Rolling Stone magazine that suggests Vilsack's run would enable Hillary's nomination even more (and thus give Mickey Kaus the upper hand in my mini-e-mail debate with him):

The point is that Iowa is hard to win. It requires time, and more time, and a degree of face-to-face human warmth and interaction to win. Politically interested people in Iowa expect to shake hands with the person they caucus for. Retail politics is not Hillary’s bag, to put it mildly. If she can opt out of Iowa that allows her to plow her mass market media dolars into Las Vegas and the rest of Nevada (which is the number two race on the revamped primary schedule). If she takes the Silver State, she could roll into New Hampshire, where geography is already her friend, the prohibitive frontrunner.

What's going on? Do my Iowa readers suspect Vilsack is simply throwing his favorite-son wrench into the caucus combine just to pave Hillary's way? On one hand, this is just absurd-- who runs for President as a gesture of goodwill for another's ascendancy? On the other hand, it makes sick perfect sense. Perhaps the answer to my question is: someone who wants to be Vice President or possibly even Secretary of Education.

Thursday, November 09, 2006

Joe Justice: Fact Checking

This puts me in the realm of Daily Kos' Markos in terms of self-promotion but oh well.


I read this post from Slate.com's blogger Mickey Kaus today:

Vilsack vs. Iowa: Isn't Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack's presidential run more good news for the Democrats--he'll be the favorite son in Iowa's caucuses, meaning other candidates will have a ready-made excuse to skip them and the press will have a good excuse to downplay them. The sweet, polite fools who fell for the John Kerry authorized bio won't get to do similar damage in 2008. ... P.S.: The CW is presumably that this is also good news for Hillary, who wasn't looking like the likely Iowa winner (and maybe bad news for Edwards, who was). ... 2:34 P.M.

I decided he was kinda wrong. So I actually emailed the guy.

Here's the email exchange:

Vilsack Not Iowa's Pick
From: Joe [Redacted]
Thu, Nov 9, 2006 at 2:57 PM
To:
Mickey_Kaus@msn.com
You're a tad off the mark on Vilsack. Recent Des Moines Register polling indicates he's far behind Iowa Democrats in their 2008 preferences, taking third place to Hillary's second and top-spot-taker Edwards. As an Iowan who likes the guy, he wouldn't be the favorite in the caucuses by any means. He's no Harkin, in the minds of caucus-goers. Dems may skip the state as a result, but they shouldn't. Thanks Kaus! Joe

From: Mickey Kaus
Thu, Nov 9, 2006 at 3:03 PM
To: Joe [redacted]
mailto:redacted@gmail.com
ok, but they still have an excuse to skip it--e.g. hillary--meaning the press will pay less attention.

I checked the Register poll and Vilsack actually came in 4th, behind Senator joke-botcher Kerry. Kaus may think the Iowans who caucused for Kerry were sweet, polite fools, but I should have reminded him that 49% of the sweet, polite country fell for it as well. Onward and upward.